The School of Odds

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

2026-08-30 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prediction 45.95%2.18fair odd
EV -0.297%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.254%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.84%46.03%45.96%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.832.022.002.1755%50%50%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Werder Bremen (Visit)

Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.343%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.42%27.36%28.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.353.6032%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.55%26.68%27.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.503.6332%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.37%EV -0.297%E -0.137%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.50%EV -1.78%E -0.498%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.12%EV -3.37%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-17 12:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 13:44
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.09%E -2.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 13:44
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 12:00
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.97%E -1.90%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 11:58
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 12:00
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.56%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.61%E -0.734%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 11:58
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.23%E -0.343%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 12:00
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.16%E -0.894%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -4.97%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 11:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 12:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.11%E -4.05%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -9.03%E -4.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.49%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 12:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.41%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 12:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.41%E -5.34%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -11.78%E -6.14%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-17 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.70%E -6.69%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -15.92%E -8.70%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -13.58%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.87%EV -16.15%E -5.13%K -7.51%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-17 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.