L’École des cotes

SC Freiburg v Werder Bremen

2026-08-30 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prévision 46.43%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.33%46.41%46.33%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.022.022.1053.19%49.60%49.38%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Werder Bremen (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.45%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.83%
Avantage +0.493%
Kelly +0.675%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.32%27.45%27.37%28.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.7131.25%29.56%29.41%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV +0.586%
Avantage +0.152%
Kelly +0.206%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.88%26.14%26.30%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.603.8530.77%27.88%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.50%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV +1.83%E +0.493%K +0.675%G +0.012%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.65%EV -3.59%E -0.974%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-24 09:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.19%E -0.331%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 23:08
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -1.74%E -0.486%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:50
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.75%E -2.83%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -1.74%E -0.486%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 06:49
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.95%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -2.56%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 11:58
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -2.56%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 06:55
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.64%EV -3.11%E -0.881%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.34%EV -6.73%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 11:55
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV +0.586%E +0.152%K +0.206%G +0.001%2.6%2026-07-23 16:50
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -2.97%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 12:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.93%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 00:28
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 08:15
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 08:14
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -0.720%E -0.189%K -0.257%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 08:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 16:50
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 12:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.68%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 12:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 19:04
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -8.05%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 19:05
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.03%E -0.540%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 12:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 19:05
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 11:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 16:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 12:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 12:14
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.42%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.95%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 16:54
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.33%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.36%EV -12.72%E -6.76%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -10.80%E -3.32%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -15.09%E -4.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 13:43
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 19:05
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.56%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.17%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -10.86%E -5.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.09%E -4.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-17 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.17%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -13.78%E -4.18%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-17 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%4.4%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%4.4%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%4.4%2026-07-25 23:29
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%16.9%2026-07-21 12:00