The School of OddsRB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach
Head to Head
Option 1: RB Leipzig (Local)
Odds
1.3971.94%Min
1.4668.33%Mean
1.4867.80%Median
1.5464.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.58%1.651Min
65.45%1.528Max
63.39%1.577Mean
63.21%1.582Median
63.33%1.579IQM
63.43%1.577Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.54 under the IQM model: 63.33%
EV -2.47%Edge -1.60%Kelly -4.57%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit)
Odds
4.8020.83%Min
5.8916.98%Mean
5.9516.81%Median
6.5015.38%Max
Consensus probabilities
14.63%6.836Min
17.54%5.700Max
15.87%6.300Mean
15.83%6.318Median
15.84%6.315IQM
15.78%6.338Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.50 under the IQM model: 15.84%
EV +2.93%Edge +0.451%Kelly +0.533%Growth +0.016%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.8525.97%Min
4.5122.18%Mean
4.5022.22%Median
5.0020.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.85%5.306Min
21.91%4.564Max
20.74%4.823Mean
20.96%4.772Median
20.83%4.800IQM
20.80%4.809Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.00 under the IQM model: 20.83%
EV +4.16%Edge +0.832%Kelly +1.04%Growth +0.043%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | RB Leipzig (Local) | Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.45%EV -8.80% E -6.11% K -20.00% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.71%EV -4.98% E -0.831% K -0.997% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.85%EV +4.16% E +0.832% K +1.04% G +0.043% | 6.1% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49% NM 64.88%EV -7.54% E -5.16% K -16.38% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.79%EV -4.98% E -0.831% K -0.997% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.33%EV +2.08% E +0.424% K +0.532% G +0.011% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.08%EV -10.07% E -7.09% K -23.97% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.66%EV -6.57% E -1.11% K -1.34% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.25%EV -0.007% E -0.001% K -0.002% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.05%EV -8.17% E -5.63% K -18.15% G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00% NM 15.09%EV -1.03% E -0.164% K -0.195% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.86%EV -1.05% E -0.221% K -0.280% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 14:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.37%EV -8.80% E -6.11% K -20.00% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.12%EV -8.94% E -1.56% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.51%EV -1.05% E -0.221% K -0.280% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43% NM 64.55%EV -11.33% E -8.10% K -28.34% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.43%EV -12.90% E -2.35% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.02%EV -1.05% E -0.221% K -0.280% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94% NM 63.82%EV -2.47% E -1.60% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63% NM 15.36%EV +1.35% E +0.211% K +0.250% G +0.003% | 4.72I 21.19% NM 20.82%EV -1.67% E -0.354% K -0.450% G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79% NM 63.77%EV -3.74% E -2.46% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87% NM 15.39%EV -0.234% E -0.037% K -0.044% G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51% NM 20.85%EV -3.13% E -0.673% K -0.858% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 63.00%EV -4.37% E -2.89% K -8.57% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.86%EV -4.98% E -0.831% K -0.997% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.14%EV -6.26% E -1.39% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 20:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.24%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.63%EV +2.93% E +0.451% K +0.533% G +0.016% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.13%EV -6.26% E -1.39% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.16%EV -5.00% E -3.33% K -10.00% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.79%EV -4.98% E -0.831% K -0.997% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.05%EV -6.26% E -1.39% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44% NM 63.22%EV -8.80% E -6.11% K -20.00% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -12.90% E -2.35% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.23%EV -6.26% E -1.39% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.79%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.75%EV +1.35% E +0.211% K +0.250% G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.46%EV -8.34% E -1.90% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.79%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63% NM 14.75%EV +1.35% E +0.211% K +0.250% G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.46%EV -8.34% E -1.90% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 62.29%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.76%EV -12.90% E -2.35% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.95%EV -8.34% E -1.90% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.47I 68.03% NM 62.48%EV -6.90% E -4.70% K -14.68% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.40%EV -11.32% E -2.02% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 21.12%EV -9.38% E -2.16% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57% NM 62.28%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.03%EV -8.94% E -1.56% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.69%EV -11.46% E -2.70% K -3.53% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 62.12%EV -6.27% E -4.24% K -13.06% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 15.99%EV -8.94% E -1.56% K -1.88% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.89%EV -12.51% E -2.98% K -3.91% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-03 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 61.81%EV -10.07% E -7.09% K -23.97% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 16.25%EV -14.49% E -2.68% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.94%EV -16.67% E -4.17% K -5.56% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92% NM 62.16%EV -10.70% E -7.59% K -26.10% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 15.93%EV -12.90% E -2.35% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.91%EV -16.67% E -4.17% K -5.56% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-03 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94% NM 60.58%EV -11.97% E -8.61% K -30.69% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 17.54%EV -23.99% E -5.00% K -6.31% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 21.87%EV -19.80% E -5.14% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | RB Leipzig (Local) | Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92% | 5.10I 19.61% | 3.85I 25.97% | 16.5% | 2026-07-03 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.01I 99.01% | 162.9% | 2026-07-05 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.01I 99.01% | 162.9% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.22I 81.97% | 1.01I 99.01% | 162.9% | 2026-07-05 02:05 |