La escuela de los momios

RB Leipzig v Borussia Monchengladbach

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RB Leipzig (Local)

Predicción 61.25%1.63momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -4.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.68%61.24%61.21%62.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.521.501.5969.93%65.97%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Borussia Monchengladbach (Visitante)

Predicción 17.89%5.59momio equitativo
EV +2.86%
Ventaja +0.498%
Kelly +0.602%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.21%17.90%17.88%19.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.315.285.7521.28%18.85%18.96%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.86%4.79momio equitativo
EV +0.117%
Ventaja +0.024%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.75%20.86%20.90%22.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.424.404.8025.00%22.62%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.51%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.96%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.53%EV -0.925%E -0.195%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-23 05:59
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV +2.86%E +0.498%K +0.602%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:31
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 62.03%EV -2.61%E -1.64%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.33%EV +1.79%E +0.314%K +0.381%G +0.007%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.63%EV -0.300%E -0.063%K -0.079%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-07 06:40
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.09%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.179%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-07 06:38
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.70%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.02%EV +0.179%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -1.97%E -0.419%K -0.532%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 11:04
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 05:59
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 11:05
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:07
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -12.40%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 20:15
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.35%E -6.31%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 11:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -2.50%E -0.460%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -3.01%E -0.648%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.12%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.44%EV -2.50%E -0.460%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -3.01%E -0.648%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 00:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 00:00
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 61.77%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -4.29%E -0.803%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.46%EV -3.01%E -0.648%K -0.825%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 12:14
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.37%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -5.19%E -0.979%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV +0.117%E +0.024%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 07:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 14:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 14:14
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.35%E -6.31%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -9.35%E -6.31%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-07 04:35
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 61.56%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.92%EV -6.62%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.52%EV -4.89%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 05:00
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.73%EV -4.45%E -2.85%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 07:10
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 61.16%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -8.77%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 20:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 14:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.06%E -3.26%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -9.27%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 07:05
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -5.67%E -3.68%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 07:04
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 08:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.33%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 08:46
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-07 03:59
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 08:38
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.00%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -12.34%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 05:04
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -12.34%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.95%EV -12.41%E -8.68%K -28.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -12.34%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-25 08:59
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.44%EV -6.90%E -4.54%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -14.13%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 07:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.40%EV -11.18%E -7.71%K -24.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.24%EV -14.13%E -2.94%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 05:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -6.28%E -4.11%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 23:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -15.03%E -3.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.69%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 05:44
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.12%E -5.41%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -8.23%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.68%EV -9.96%E -6.77%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -15.53%E -3.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 07:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%3.8%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%3.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%3.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 58.86%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.04%16.4%2026-07-25 07:05