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Hamburger SV v Borussia Monchengladbach

2026-11-06 19:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hamburger SV (Local)

Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.41%40.78%40.94%42.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4046.51%43.57%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit)

Prediction 33.44%2.99fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.17%33.52%33.38%35.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.732.752.9540.82%36.57%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.89fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.481%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%25.70%25.68%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.623.603.9428.99%27.61%27.78%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hamburger SV (Local): 40.82%; Borussia Monchengladbach (Visit): 33.44%; Draw: 25.74%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.94, producing a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.53%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -1.68%E -0.570%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.98%EV +1.41%E +0.359%K +0.481%G +0.007%1.6%2026-10-25 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.51%EV -5.71%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.52%EV -4.35%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.97%EV -1.16%E -0.302%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.69%E -1.64%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.04%E -0.849%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 20:39
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -1.34%E -0.455%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 21:55
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -5.71%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -2.35%E -0.803%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 21:27
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:58
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 22:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 21:19
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.05%E -5.02%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -18.06%E -7.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-25 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.72%EV -14.05%E -5.47%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.27%EV -9.14%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 21:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -14.72%E -5.77%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 21:36
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -18.06%E -7.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-25 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-10-25 21:55