默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamburger SV v Borussia Monchengladbach

2026-11-06 19:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hamburger SV (主队)

预测 40.82%2.45公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.849%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.41%40.78%40.94%42.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.4046.51%43.57%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Borussia Monchengladbach (客队)

预测 33.44%2.99公平赔率
EV -1.34%
优势 -0.455%
Kelly -0.688%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
32.17%33.52%33.38%35.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.732.752.9540.82%36.57%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.74%3.89公平赔率
EV +1.41%
优势 +0.359%
Kelly +0.481%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 3.94

博彩公司预测分布
24.61%25.70%25.68%26.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.623.603.9428.99%27.61%27.78%25.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Hamburger SV (主队):40.82%;Borussia Monchengladbach (客队):33.44%;平局:25.74%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.94,由此产生+1.41%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.53%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%EV -1.68%E -0.570%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.98%EV +1.41%E +0.359%K +0.481%G +0.007%1.6%2026-10-25 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.51%EV -5.71%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.52%EV -4.35%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.97%EV -1.16%E -0.302%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 20:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -4.69%E -1.64%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.04%E -0.849%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 20:39
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -1.34%E -0.455%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 21:55
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -5.71%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.64%EV -2.35%E -0.803%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 21:27
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -11.37%E -4.29%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.86%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -3.26%E -1.38%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 21:58
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.74%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 22:00
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 21:19
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.12%E -2.66%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -13.05%E -5.02%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -18.06%E -7.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-25 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.01%EV -8.98%E -4.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.72%EV -14.05%E -5.47%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.27%EV -9.14%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-25 21:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.16%E -3.63%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.36%E -2.27%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 21:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -14.72%E -5.77%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 21:36
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -12.24%E -5.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -18.06%E -7.37%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-25 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.20%E -4.64%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.03%E -2.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 21:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.28%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%4.0%2026-10-25 20:40
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%16.4%2026-10-25 21:55