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FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-09-12 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Prediction 39.22%2.55fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.19%39.35%40.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.382.5046.51%42.45%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit)

Prediction 35.07%2.85fair odd
EV -0.758%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.414%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.63%35.07%35.00%35.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.622.8340.82%37.88%38.17%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.628%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.74%25.64%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.613.603.8228.57%27.68%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FSV Mainz 05 (Local): 39.22%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit): 35.07%; Draw: 25.71%. For Eintracht Frankfurt (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.83, with an expected value of -0.758%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.40%EV -1.95%E -0.782%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.81%EV -0.758%E -0.268%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.79%EV -1.77%E -0.464%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.38%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.85%EV -2.51%E -0.904%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -3.32%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.57%E -0.953%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -2.29%E -0.602%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -15.68%E -7.29%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -14.08%E -5.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-30 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%5.9%2026-08-30 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-08-30 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%169.5%2026-08-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Smarkets◎1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%185.7%2026-08-30 17:00