Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FSV Mainz 05 v Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-09-12 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FSV Mainz 05 (Casa)

Previsione 39.22%2.55quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.782%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.44%39.19%39.35%40.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.362.382.5046.51%42.45%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Eintracht Frankfurt (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.07%2.85quota equa
EV -0.758%
Vantaggio -0.268%
Kelly -0.414%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.63%35.07%35.00%35.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.642.622.8340.82%37.88%38.17%35.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.71%3.89quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.464%
Kelly -0.628%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.65%25.74%25.64%26.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.613.603.8228.57%27.68%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FSV Mainz 05 (Casa): 39.22%; Eintracht Frankfurt (Trasferta): 35.07%; Pareggio: 25.71%. Per Eintracht Frankfurt (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.85. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.83, con un valore atteso del -0.758%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.40%EV -1.95%E -0.782%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.81%EV -0.758%E -0.268%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.79%EV -1.77%E -0.464%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-30 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.38%EV -3.52%E -1.43%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.85%EV -2.51%E -0.904%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -3.32%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.56%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -3.57%E -0.953%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 19:14
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -7.77%E -2.96%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.66%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -2.29%E -0.602%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.32%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -7.84%E -3.33%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.80%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -10.58%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -13.72%E -6.24%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.72%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.13%EV -15.68%E -7.29%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.22%EV -14.08%E -5.75%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.65%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-30 16:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.1%2026-08-30 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%168.7%2026-08-30 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 33.53%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.23%168.7%2026-08-30 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 16:50
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%1.05I 95.24%NM 33.33%185.7%2026-08-30 17:00