The School of Odds

Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

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Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Prediction 18.64%5.36fair odd
EV +7.19%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.109%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.89%18.58%18.66%20.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.954.955.7524%20%20%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)

Prediction 60.59%1.65fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.17%60.64%60.63%62.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.551.6070%65%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.77%4.81fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.94%20.78%20.71%21.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.154.484.504.7524%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.89%EV +7.19%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.109%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.66%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.45%EV -1.34%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-23 05:59
1xBet5.53I 18.08%NM 17.77%EV +3.08%E +0.558%K +0.681%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.41%EV -3.06%E -1.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.82%EV -1.96%E -0.415%K -0.527%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-11 04:29
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +2.53%E +0.459%K +0.561%G +0.014%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 15:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV +2.53%E +0.459%K +0.561%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Marathon Bet5.45I 18.35%NM 17.79%EV +1.59%E +0.292%K +0.358%G +0.006%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.36%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -3.41%E -0.734%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-11 04:29
SportsBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.20%E -0.227%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.80%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -2.38%E -0.506%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 11:04
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -1.20%E -0.227%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.46%EV -10.33%E -6.98%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 11:05
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 05:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 20:13
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -4.88%E -3.11%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-10 20:14
Caesars5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 20:15
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -2.14%E -0.407%K -0.502%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 20:14
BetOnline.ag5.23I 19.12%NM 18.23%EV -2.51%E -0.480%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.64%EV -4.04%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag5.23I 19.12%NM 18.23%EV -2.51%E -0.480%K -0.593%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.13%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.64%EV -4.04%E -0.874%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 14:15
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -3.07%E -0.590%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.16%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 07:39
Bovada5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV -4.93%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV -3.41%E -0.734%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 12:14
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.26%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 07:10
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.98%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 15:39
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.09%E -3.93%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -1.34%E -0.282%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 20:15
Pinnacle5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.74%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.56%EV -5.49%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 13:40
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-06 11:04
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 15:09
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-06 12:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 08:30
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.06%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:04
betano_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.80%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.06%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:04
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -7.73%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -2.38%E -0.506%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 11:44
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -7.73%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.41%EV -4.27%E -2.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -2.38%E -0.506%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 11:44
Suprabets4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.66%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 15:08
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.85%EV -9.59%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.14%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:45
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -10.52%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.30%E -4.77%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 09:30
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -5.48%E -3.51%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 17:31
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.01%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 07:04
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.59%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.09%EV -9.65%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 07:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.53%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 23:50
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -11.46%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-06 09:25
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -7.91%E -5.20%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -4.45%E -0.968%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 07:05
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.79%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -10.68%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 12:44
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.59%EV -12.39%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.09%EV -13.36%E -9.34%K -31.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.32%EV -10.68%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 13:43
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -14.25%E -3.10%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.12%E -6.08%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -8.61%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 20:10
Betclic (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -15.18%E -3.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.62%EV -10.94%E -7.44%K -23.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -13.80%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 07:05
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -17.98%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -17.98%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.25%EV -6.69%E -4.35%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -21.71%E -5.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -8.51%E -5.64%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -12.76%E -3.04%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%3.6%2026-07-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%3.6%2026-07-25 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.55%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.98%3.6%2026-07-25 02:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%16.6%2026-07-25 07:05