Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg v Augsburg

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 4–3 Augsburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg (Local)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.894%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.91%38.70%38.64%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.402.5544.44%41.21%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Augsburg (Visit)

Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%35.94%35.93%36.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.612.7541.67%38.39%38.31%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.545%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%25.35%25.43%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.704.0028.57%27.01%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elversberg (Local): 38.67%; Augsburg (Visit): 35.92%; Draw: 25.41%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV +1.64%E +0.409%K +0.545%G +0.009%4.8%2026-10-17 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +0.366%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +0.366%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -1.39%E -0.544%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%EV +0.366%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.30%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -2.18%E -0.565%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 12:50
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.74%EV -4.87%E -1.98%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.38%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -2.68%E -0.701%K -0.948%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 20:50
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:25
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:13
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -1.22%E -0.445%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.15%EV -1.22%E -0.445%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.60%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 12:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:15
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.84%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:15
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 09:35
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -12.99%E -5.77%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -13.80%E -5.75%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-17 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.41%EV -2.16%E -0.854%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.47%EV -1.58%E -0.578%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.12%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 13:20
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.98%EV -4.87%E -1.98%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.25%EV -2.30%E -0.846%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.77%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -4.09%E -1.65%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.62%EV -3.38%E -1.26%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.75%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:25
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.92%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.32%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:00
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 07:40
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 06:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 12:55
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 12:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 12:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -9.89%E -4.25%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-17 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 10:00
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.02%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 04:30
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.91%EV -6.03%E -2.48%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.85%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 12:49
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 12:49
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -2.30%E -0.846%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:23
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.82%E -1.82%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 10:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 12:49
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 06:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.34%EV -8.35%E -3.52%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.06%EV -9.48%E -3.76%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 13:25
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 07:15
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 07:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.19%E -2.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.89%E -2.25%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 07:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.96%E -3.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -6.61%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.12%E -3.88%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.00%E -4.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-10-17 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.00%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.2%2026-10-17 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.92%0.2%2026-10-17 13:25
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-10-17 13:25
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-10-17 13:25
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-17 13:25