默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elversberg v Augsburg

2026-10-17 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Elversberg (主队)

预测 40.29%2.48公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.860%
Kelly -1.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.43

博彩公司预测分布
39.08%40.28%40.22%41.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.302.302.4346.51%43.40%43.48%41.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

Augsburg (客队)

预测 34.79%2.87公平赔率
EV -0.161%
优势 -0.056%
Kelly -0.086%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.87

博彩公司预测分布
33.85%34.75%34.90%36.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.642.632.8741.67%37.90%38.02%34.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.92%4.01公平赔率
EV -0.317%
优势 -0.079%
Kelly -0.106%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.77%24.96%24.88%26.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.683.704.0028.57%27.16%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Elversberg (主队):40.29%;Augsburg (客队):34.79%;平局:24.92%。 对于“Augsburg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.875。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为2.870,期望值为-0.161%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.49%EV -2.09%E -0.860%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.28%EV -0.161%E -0.056%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.23%EV -2.81%E -0.720%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.6%2026-09-21 09:13
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -0.317%E -0.079%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-21 09:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -8.51%E -3.24%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-21 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -4.10%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.81%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.81%E -0.720%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-21 09:49
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -7.81%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 10:48
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -7.81%E -2.95%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-21 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -5.31%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-21 13:24
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -6.93%E -3.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.87%EV -2.25%E -0.800%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.92%EV -4.80%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-21 11:35
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -2.60%E -0.927%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 11:26
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -2.60%E -0.927%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-21 09:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-21 10:52
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -8.86%E -3.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-21 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -9.34%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.25%EV -11.99%E -4.74%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-21 13:28
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-21 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -14.77%E -6.03%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.51%E -6.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-21 13:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -13.37%E -6.22%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-21 09:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 38.97%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%16.6%2026-09-21 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 11:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-21 11:59