The School of OddsBorussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV
Head to Head
Option 1: Borussia Dortmund (Local)
Odds
1.2480.65%Min
1.3176.63%Mean
1.3076.92%Median
1.3772.99%Max
Consensus probabilities
68.00%1.470Min
73.05%1.369Max
71.30%1.403Mean
71.25%1.404Median
71.22%1.404IQM
71.41%1.400Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.37 under the IQM model: 71.22%
EV -2.43%Edge -1.77%Kelly -6.56%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Hamburger SV (Visit)
Odds
6.0016.67%Min
8.1112.33%Mean
8.0012.50%Median
9.5510.47%Max
Consensus probabilities
10.00%10.004Min
14.05%7.115Max
11.42%8.758Mean
11.58%8.638Median
11.49%8.702IQM
11.30%8.852Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 9.55 under the IQM model: 11.49%
EV +9.75%Edge +1.02%Kelly +1.14%Growth +0.111%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.7021.28%Min
5.3518.70%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
5.8017.24%Max
Consensus probabilities
16.34%6.119Min
18.18%5.501Max
17.29%5.785Mean
17.18%5.822Median
17.29%5.785IQM
17.29%5.782Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.80 under the IQM model: 17.29%
EV +0.260%Edge +0.045%Kelly +0.054%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Borussia Dortmund (Local) | Hamburger SV (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99% NM 71.79%EV -2.43% E -1.77% K -6.56% G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47% NM 10.30%EV +9.75% E +1.02% K +1.14% G +0.111% | 5.49I 18.21% NM 17.91%EV -5.10% E -0.929% K -1.14% G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 73.05%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.00%EV +9.17% E +0.965% K +1.08% G +0.099% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.96%EV -3.20% E -0.571% K -0.695% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07% NM 71.76%EV -3.85% E -2.85% K -11.00% G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64% NM 10.31%EV +8.02% E +0.853% K +0.955% G +0.077% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.94%EV -6.65% E -1.23% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 03:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.63%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81% NM 10.21%EV +6.30% E +0.681% K +0.764% G +0.048% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.17%EV -4.93% E -0.896% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 14:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92% NM 72.42%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.46%EV +3.43% E +0.381% K +0.428% G +0.015% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.12%EV -4.93% E -0.896% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.28I 78.13% NM 72.29%EV -8.84% E -6.90% K -31.56% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.89%EV -2.32% E -0.273% K -0.309% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.82%EV -4.93% E -0.896% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 71.56%EV -8.12% E -6.30% K -28.01% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.86%EV -2.32% E -0.273% K -0.309% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.58%EV -9.25% E -1.76% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00% NM 71.58%EV -10.97% E -8.78% K -43.89% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.53%EV -2.32% E -0.273% K -0.309% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.89%EV -13.57% E -2.71% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07% NM 70.71%EV -3.85% E -2.85% K -11.00% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.93%EV -8.07% E -1.01% K -1.15% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 17.36%EV -4.93% E -0.896% K -1.09% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 71.08%EV -4.56% E -3.40% K -13.42% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.91%EV -8.07% E -1.01% K -1.15% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 17.01%EV -3.20% E -0.571% K -0.695% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76% NM 71.81%EV -5.99% E -4.54% K -18.71% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.85%EV -8.07% E -1.01% K -1.15% G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24% NM 16.34%EV +0.260% E +0.045% K +0.054% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52% NM 70.46%EV -8.12% E -6.30% K -28.01% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.36%EV -8.07% E -1.01% K -1.15% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.18%EV -13.57% E -2.71% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19% NM 70.53%EV -5.27% E -3.97% K -15.98% G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90% NM 12.10%EV -10.94% E -1.41% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.37%EV -6.65% E -1.23% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19% NM 70.53%EV -5.27% E -3.97% K -15.98% G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90% NM 12.10%EV -10.94% E -1.41% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.37%EV -6.65% E -1.23% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34% NM 70.22%EV -6.70% E -5.11% K -21.61% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.26%EV -13.81% E -1.84% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.52%EV -9.25% E -1.76% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 70.38%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.20%EV -13.81% E -1.84% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 17.43%EV -9.25% E -1.76% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92% NM 70.14%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51% NM 12.32%EV -14.96% E -2.02% K -2.34% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 17.54%EV -10.11% E -1.94% K -2.41% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 70.12%EV -10.97% E -8.78% K -43.89% G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08% NM 12.35%EV -18.41% E -2.59% K -3.02% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.53%EV -13.57% E -2.71% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.30I 76.92% NM 70.53%EV -7.41% E -5.70% K -24.70% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.10%EV -19.56% E -2.79% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86% NM 16.37%EV -3.20% E -0.571% K -0.695% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 68.46%EV -8.84% E -6.90% K -31.56% G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15% NM 13.28%EV -24.15% E -3.66% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 18.26%EV -17.03% E -3.55% K -4.48% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-03 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 68.00%EV -11.68% E -9.42% K -48.69% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.05%EV -31.05% E -5.17% K -6.21% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 17.94%EV -18.75% E -3.99% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Borussia Dortmund (Local) | Hamburger SV (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37% | 6.40I 15.63% | 4.60I 21.74% | 16.7% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34% | 1.17I 85.47% | 1.01I 99.01% | 160.8% | 2026-07-03 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34% | 1.17I 85.47% | 1.01I 99.01% | 160.8% | 2026-07-03 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34% | 1.17I 85.47% | 1.01I 99.01% | 160.8% | 2026-07-03 15:45 |