La scuola delle quote

Borussia Dortmund v Hamburger SV

2026-08-29 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Borussia Dortmund (Casa)

Previsione 70.73%1.41quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -6.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.84%70.68%70.75%72.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.321.321.3880.65%75.77%75.76%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hamburger SV (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.67%8.57quota equa
EV +10.85%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.139%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.24%11.67%11.68%13.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.757.908.009.5014.81%12.66%12.50%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.60%5.68quota equa
EV +0.315%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.067%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.62%17.65%17.57%19.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.295.355.7021.05%18.92%18.69%17.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.07%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.24%EV +10.85%E +1.14%K +1.28%G +0.139%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.49%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -6.72%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 06:00
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +5.02%E +0.557%K +0.627%G +0.031%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV +0.315%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 16:24
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.24%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.17%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.59%EV -1.62%E -0.290%K -0.353%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-25 10:01
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.81%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.87%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -12.88%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 06:34
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.81%EV -3.10%E -2.26%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.87%EV +2.68%E +0.305%K +0.344%G +0.009%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -12.88%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 06:34
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +2.10%E +0.240%K +0.271%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.25%EV -3.80%E -2.80%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.14%EV +1.52%E +0.174%K +0.197%G +0.003%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.62%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 09:55
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-23 15:05
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:05
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:10
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 08:15
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 02:09
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 05:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.817%E -0.096%K -0.109%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -3.73%E -0.453%K -0.515%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 05:17
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 16:54
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.48%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -4.96%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 07:10
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.22%E -3.89%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 16:54
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 16:55
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 16:54
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 70.97%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.32%EV -4.79%E -0.885%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 05:30
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 05:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 23:50
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.34%E -5.60%K -23.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -6.72%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 06:00
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -8.76%E -6.79%K -30.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 09:04
betano_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -8.76%E -6.79%K -30.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -6.65%E -0.831%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 09:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.89%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.82%EV -9.57%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -16.40%E -3.45%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 08:15
Suprabets1.30I 76.92%NM 70.48%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 11.90%EV -10.15%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 20:07
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 01:54
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:31
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 07:04
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 04:54
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.93%E -4.46%K -17.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 07:05
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 12:15
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-15 22:40
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.76%E -6.79%K -30.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-06 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -12.29%E -9.91%K -51.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -12.49%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 13:43
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.78%EV -6.63%E -5.03%K -20.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -18.32%E -2.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -4.96%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 07:05
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -10.88%E -8.63%K -41.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -18.32%E -2.62%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -13.76%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 07:05
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.03%EV -10.17%E -8.01%K -37.67%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.71%EV -19.49%E -2.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -15.52%E -3.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 08:02
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.32%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 07:04
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.84%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.84%EV -8.05%E -6.19%K -26.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -21.24%E -3.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-07 04:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-07-26 07:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-07-26 07:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.89%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-07-26 07:55
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 67.71%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.96%17.2%2026-07-24 08:05