默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen

2026-09-12 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Augsburg (主队)

预测 23.24%4.30公平赔率
EV +1.34%
优势 +0.307%
Kelly +0.398%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 4.36

博彩公司预测分布
22.58%23.24%23.24%24.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.954.004.3628.17%25.31%25.00%22.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bayer Leverkusen (客队)

预测 54.12%1.85公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.70%54.14%54.15%55.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.64%4.42公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.296%
Kelly -0.384%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.36

博彩公司预测分布
21.65%22.62%22.61%23.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.114.204.3625.97%24.31%23.81%22.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Augsburg (主队):23.24%;Bayer Leverkusen (客队):54.12%;平局:22.64%。 对于“Augsburg (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.36,由此产生+1.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 22.61%EV +1.34%E +0.307%K +0.398%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.61%EV -1.29%E -0.296%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -0.057%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:40
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 15:45
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 14:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 13:40
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:09
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.54%E -5.05%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:40
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:14
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 13:40
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:10
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.08%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 13:40
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -10.52%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:10
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -9.08%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -17.49%E -4.93%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.27%EV -12.33%E -7.61%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -12.84%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-30 13:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%6.1%2026-08-30 19:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%1.63I 61.35%NM 52.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27%16.2%2026-08-30 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%179.5%2026-08-30 15:20