Idioma:Español
Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen
Resultado del partido
Augsburg (Local)
Predicción 23.24%4.30momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.307%
Kelly +0.398%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.58%23.24%23.24%24.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.954.004.3628.17%25.31%25.00%22.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bayer Leverkusen (Visitante)
Predicción 54.12%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.70%54.14%54.15%55.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.87%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.64%4.42momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.384%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.65%22.62%22.61%23.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.114.204.3625.97%24.31%23.81%22.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Augsburg (Local): 23.24%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visitante): 54.12%; Empate: 22.64%. Para Augsburg (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.30. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.36, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.61%EV +1.34%E +0.307%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.61%EV -1.29%E -0.296%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -0.057%E -0.013%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -2.59%E -1.44%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -4.21%E -2.38%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.84%E -3.35%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.54%E -5.05%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.65%E -0.616%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.30%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.46%E -4.36%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.29%E -3.03%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.38%E -3.69%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.35%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.08%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -10.52%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.57%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.44%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.00%E -4.71%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.91%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -11.25%E -6.86%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.68%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -9.08%E -5.41%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.70%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -17.49%E -4.93%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.27%EV -12.33%E -7.61%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -12.84%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.27% | 16.2% | 2026-08-30 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 176.1% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 176.1% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13% | 179.5% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |