Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

USL Dunkerque v Montpellier

Início: 2026-08-21 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 0–1 Montpellier

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Previsão 41.74%2.40odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.83%41.70%41.81%43.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.222.232.3348.78%45.07%44.84%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Montpellier (Visitante)

Previsão 31.68%3.16odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.582%
Kelly -0.859%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%31.59%31.60%33.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.892.903.1036.36%34.59%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.59%3.76odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -0.885%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.67%26.71%26.59%28.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.383.403.6431.75%29.56%29.41%27.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: USL Dunkerque (Local): 41.74%; Montpellier (Visitante): 31.68%; Empate: 26.59%. Para Montpellier (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.16. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.10, com valor esperado de -1.80%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.40%EV -2.76%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 14:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 17:14
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.01%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-21 17:34
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.84%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.35%EV -2.75%E -0.897%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV -3.22%E -0.885%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:29
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 17:15
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:20
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:10
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 17:10
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.60%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.41%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.41%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.89%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.65%EV -7.74%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 17:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -9.72%E -3.41%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 17:19
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.11%EV -6.93%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.31%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -7.35%E -3.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -7.35%E -3.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.28%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:54
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.27%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 17:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.77%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.27%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -1.80%E -0.582%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:24
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.31%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 17:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.31%E -4.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 17:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-21 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.32%EV -9.43%E -4.35%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -7.51%E -2.57%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Suprabets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.09%EV -9.85%E -4.56%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.24%EV -7.82%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.66%EV -9.34%E -2.74%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:19
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -1.80%E -0.582%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.27%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -10.27%E -4.78%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.97%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.94%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.35%E -5.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -8.14%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.26%E -3.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -14.44%E -7.04%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.89%E -4.69%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.60%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-21 17:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.29%0.1%2026-08-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-21 17:54