Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque v Grenoble

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 0–1 Grenoble

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.93%45.84%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.82%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.450%
Kelly -0.616%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%26.59%26.66%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.403.7031.25%29.03%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -0.976%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%27.49%27.50%28.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.383.6033.33%29.92%29.54%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USL Dunkerque (Local): 45.92%; Grenoble (Visit): 26.58%; Draw: 27.51%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.976%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.976%E -0.271%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.04%EV -4.04%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.07%EV -1.93%E -0.523%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:40
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -7.03%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:41
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:53
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Suprabets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.25%EV -7.78%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.20%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:37
NetBet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.63%E -4.34%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:31
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -17.48%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-05-02 17:55