La escuela de los momios

USL Dunkerque v Grenoble

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 0–1 Grenoble

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.22%45.93%45.84%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.82%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grenoble (Visitante)

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.450%
Kelly -0.616%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%26.59%26.66%28.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.403.7031.25%29.03%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.51%3.64momio equitativo
EV -0.976%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.375%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%27.49%27.50%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.383.6033.33%29.92%29.54%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -6.75%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.976%E -0.271%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:40
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.04%EV -4.04%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.07%EV -1.93%E -0.523%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 17:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.65%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 17:40
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 17:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -2.99%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.51%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -7.03%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:34
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 17:41
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:20
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -1.66%E -0.450%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:49
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:53
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -5.10%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 09:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.29%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.73%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Suprabets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.55%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.25%EV -7.78%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.20%EV -11.15%E -3.45%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:37
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.70%EV -8.63%E -4.34%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.97%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 09:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:31
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.83%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 17:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 17:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.95%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -17.48%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-02 17:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-05-02 17:55