Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade Lavallois v Guingamp

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV +7.58%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.76%
Growth +0.209%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%28.47%28.74%31.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.293.253.7535.09%30.39%30.77%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Guingamp (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.82%42.28%41.95%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.172.2849.50%46.49%45.98%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -0.992%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%29.25%29.31%30.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3335.71%32.05%32.26%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stade Lavallois (Local): 28.69%; Guingamp (Visit): 41.98%; Draw: 29.34%. For Stade Lavallois (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +7.58%E +2.02%K +2.76%G +0.209%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -9.64%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -9.64%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.31%E -0.694%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.49%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:55
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Suprabets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.91%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.24%EV -8.76%E -2.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 18:35
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -18.24%E -6.40%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%1.7%2026-03-06 18:50