La escuela de los momios

Stade Lavallois v Guingamp

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 28.69%3.49momio equitativo
EV +7.58%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.76%
Crecimiento +0.209%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.87%28.47%28.74%31.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.293.253.7535.09%30.39%30.77%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Guingamp (Visitante)

Predicción 41.98%2.38momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.82%42.28%41.95%46.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.172.2849.50%46.49%45.98%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.34%3.41momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -0.992%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.25%29.31%30.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3335.71%32.05%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV +7.58%E +2.02%K +2.76%G +0.209%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -5.54%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:30
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +1.84%E +0.519%K +0.723%G +0.013%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -14.37%E -7.04%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 15:29
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -9.64%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:25
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.81%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -9.64%E -3.13%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV +0.409%E +0.117%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -15.21%E -7.53%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 15:30
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -4.47%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.21%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%EV -2.31%E -0.694%K -0.992%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.19%E -0.967%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:51
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.33%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 18:54
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:35
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:50
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:50
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 18:50
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.56%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:41
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 18:50
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:50
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.49%E -3.90%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.20%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:35
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Suprabets3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -8.91%E -4.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.24%EV -8.76%E -2.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 18:50
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.63%E -3.06%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.65%E -3.48%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 18:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.07%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.93%E -5.15%K -7.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 18:35
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -11.85%E -5.64%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.86%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -18.24%E -6.40%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -9.75%E -4.54%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 18:51
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:50
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%0.9%2026-03-06 18:45
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.51%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%1.7%2026-03-06 18:50