Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade Lavallois v Grenoble

2026-08-28 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Prediction 44.50%2.25fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.57%44.74%44.35%48.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.042.052.1353.19%49.11%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grenoble (Visit)

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV +6.98%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.142%

assuming max odds 4.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%23.95%23.85%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.704.4330.30%26.57%27.03%22.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV +6.60%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.181%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%31.31%31.80%33.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.4036.36%33.37%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stade Lavallois (Local): 44.50%; Grenoble (Visit): 24.15%; Draw: 31.35%. For Grenoble (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.43, producing a positive expected value of +6.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.57%EV -14.12%E -7.31%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.85%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV +6.60%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%6.7%2026-08-22 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -15.01%E -7.86%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV +6.60%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%7.1%2026-08-22 19:30
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -16.34%E -8.69%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV +5.03%E +1.50%K +2.14%G +0.108%9.0%2026-08-22 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 01:29
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 01:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 01:34
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 21:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 01:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -12.78%E -6.52%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 00:39
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.23%E -6.78%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -20.31%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-23 01:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 00:39
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -11.89%E -6.01%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -14.27%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 00:39
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.85%EV -6.11%E -2.89%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.36%EV +6.98%E +1.58%K +2.04%G +0.142%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -12.21%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.446%G +0.006%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -13.47%E -4.88%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.446%G +0.006%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -13.47%E -4.88%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +3.84%E +0.893%K +1.16%G +0.045%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.95%EV -9.92%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 43.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.94%16.0%2026-08-23 00:40
Arbitrage (19 combinations) +1.08%LowVig.ag 2.13 (47.5%) / Pinnacle 4.43 (22.8%) / 1xBet 3.40 (29.7%)Show all 19 combinations
Stade Lavallois (Local)Grenoble (Visit)DrawMargin
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (30.0%)+0.631%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (30.0%)+0.631%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.625%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.625%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
betfred_uk🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
betfred_uk🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.6%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (29.9%)+0.183%

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