Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois v Grenoble

2026-08-28 18:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Resultado del partido

28 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 44.50%2.25momio equitativo
EV -5.22%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -4.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%44.74%44.35%48.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.042.052.1353.19%49.11%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grenoble (Visitante)

Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV +6.98%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.142%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.36%23.95%23.85%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.763.704.4330.30%26.57%27.03%22.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 31.35%3.19momio equitativo
EV +6.60%
Ventaja +1.94%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.181%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%31.31%31.80%33.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.4036.36%33.37%33.33%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Stade Lavallois (Local): 44.50%; Grenoble (Visitante): 24.15%; Empate: 31.35%. Para Grenoble (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.14. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.43, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.98%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.57%EV -14.12%E -7.31%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.85%EV -5.09%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV +6.60%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%6.7%2026-08-22 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -15.01%E -7.86%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -4.85%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV +6.60%E +1.94%K +2.75%G +0.181%7.1%2026-08-22 19:30
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -16.34%E -8.69%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV +5.03%E +1.50%K +2.14%G +0.108%9.0%2026-08-22 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 02:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 23:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 01:29
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 01:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.48%E -4.42%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -2.81%E -0.906%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 19:29
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.55%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 02:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 21:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.06%E -3.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 01:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -12.78%E -6.52%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.51%E -2.55%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 02:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.44%E -3.58%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 02:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -11.00%E -5.50%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.86%E -3.25%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 02:40
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.23%E -6.78%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -20.31%E -6.15%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-23 01:30
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 02:39
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.03%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 02:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 02:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.40%EV -11.89%E -6.01%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -14.27%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -10.65%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 02:40
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.85%EV -6.11%E -2.89%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.36%EV +6.98%E +1.58%K +2.04%G +0.142%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -12.21%E -4.36%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.446%G +0.006%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -13.47%E -4.88%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.88%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.446%G +0.006%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.86%EV -13.47%E -4.88%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.00%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +3.84%E +0.893%K +1.16%G +0.045%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.55%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.95%EV -9.92%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -13.78%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 02:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 43.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.94%16.0%2026-08-23 02:40
Arbitraje (19 combinaciones) +1.08%LowVig.ag 2.13 (47.5%) / Pinnacle 4.43 (22.8%) / 1xBet 3.40 (29.7%)Ver las 19 combinaciones
Stade Lavallois (Local)Grenoble (Visitante)EmpateMargen
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.8%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.7%)+1.08%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (30.0%)+0.631%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (30.0%)+0.631%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.625%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.7%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.6%)+0.625%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
betfred_uk🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
betfred_uk🎯 2.10 (47.8%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.397%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
LowVig.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)1xBet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
BetOnline.ag🎯 2.13 (47.1%)DraftKings🎯 4.30 (23.3%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.386%
Pinnacle🎯 2.11 (47.5%)Pinnacle🎯 4.43 (22.6%)Bovada🎯 3.35 (29.9%)+0.183%

Comente este partido en odds.forum

Aún no hay comentarios publicados.