L’École des cotes

Stade Lavallois v Boulogne

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Stade Lavallois 2–1 Boulogne

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Prévision 52.57%1.90cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -5.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.52%52.63%52.56%55.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.741.741.8161.73%57.44%57.47%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boulogne (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.53%4.65cote équitable
EV +0.102%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.028%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.96%21.44%21.54%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.324.334.6526.67%23.16%23.09%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.562%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.28%25.93%25.90%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.543.603.8032.26%28.27%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.47%E -4.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -4.68%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -2.91%E -0.646%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:23
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:53
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:29
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:48
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.83%E -9.16%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:29
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:24
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:25
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.16%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 17:24
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:19
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.83%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:20
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:29
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.61%EV -7.47%E -4.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.562%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.562%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:29
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 17:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -13.89%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:39
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -13.89%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -19.27%E -5.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.71%E -6.36%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-09 17:54