La escuela de los momios

Stade Lavallois v Boulogne

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Final: Stade Lavallois 2–1 Boulogne

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stade Lavallois (Local)

Predicción 52.57%1.90momio equitativo
EV -4.85%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -5.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%52.63%52.56%55.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.741.8161.73%57.44%57.47%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boulogne (Visitante)

Predicción 21.53%4.65momio equitativo
EV +0.102%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.028%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.96%21.44%21.54%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.324.334.6526.67%23.16%23.09%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.90%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.414%
Kelly -0.562%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%25.93%25.90%27.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.603.8032.26%28.27%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.86%EV -7.47%E -4.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +0.102%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.76%EV -4.68%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -2.91%E -0.646%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 17:54
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:23
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:53
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:29
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:48
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.44%EV -14.83%E -9.16%K -23.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -3.13%E -0.695%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.87%E -0.765%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:29
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.46%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:24
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:29
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -5.28%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:25
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -11.68%E -6.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -6.36%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:29
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.16%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 17:24
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:19
Suprabets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.83%EV -9.58%E -5.57%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -10.12%E -2.92%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:20
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -6.79%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:29
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:29
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -4.85%E -2.68%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.61%EV -7.47%E -4.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.86%EV -7.27%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.562%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -1.57%E -0.414%K -0.562%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:24
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.11%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -7.43%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:34
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.08%EV -6.42%E -3.61%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:24
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -8.51%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:39
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.34%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -5.37%E -2.98%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:29
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -8.53%E -4.90%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:29
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -10.64%E -3.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:30
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.00%E -4.57%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -15.82%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 17:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.59%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:35
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.95%E -3.93%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -13.89%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.75%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 17:39
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.63%E -6.25%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -13.89%E -3.47%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -9.05%E -5.23%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -19.27%E -5.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.71%E -6.36%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-09 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-09 17:49
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-05-09 17:54