Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade de Reims v Red Star

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Stade de Reims 3–2 Red Star

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stade de Reims (Local)

Prediction 48.70%2.05fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.01%48.77%48.72%50.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0155.56%52.72%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Red Star (Visit)

Prediction 23.60%4.24fair odd
EV -0.872%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%23.54%23.61%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.854.2027.78%25.94%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.69%27.68%28.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.25%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stade de Reims (Local): 48.70%; Red Star (Visit): 23.60%; Draw: 27.69%. For Red Star (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.872%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.41%EV -3.00%E -0.729%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.07%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 11:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.97%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 05:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:01
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:20
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:19
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:20
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:29
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 07:00
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 05:20
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -4.41%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -0.872%E -0.208%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -4.41%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -2.05%E -0.494%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.47%EV -11.66%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:28
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.872%E -0.208%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 11:29
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -14.15%E -4.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%2.6%2026-04-18 11:29