La escuela de los momios

Stade de Reims v Red Star

Inicio: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Stade de Reims 3–2 Red Star

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stade de Reims (Local)

Predicción 48.70%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.01%48.77%48.72%50.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.912.0155.56%52.72%52.36%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Red Star (Visitante)

Predicción 23.60%4.24momio equitativo
EV -0.872%
Ventaja -0.208%
Kelly -0.272%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.89%23.54%23.61%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.863.854.2027.78%25.94%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.69%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.97%27.69%27.68%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.25%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.87%EV -2.10%E -1.05%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.41%EV -3.00%E -0.729%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 10:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.07%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.97%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 05:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.03%E -2.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:01
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -5.51%E -2.84%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -6.00%E -3.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:54
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 05:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -6.49%E -3.38%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 05:20
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:29
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 11:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.85%E -3.80%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -6.97%E -3.65%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -15.03%E -4.18%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 17:35
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:29
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 07:00
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 07:00
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.46%E -3.93%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 05:20
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -4.41%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.31%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.17%EV -8.43%E -4.49%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 11:30
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -0.872%E -0.208%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -4.41%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.92%E -4.77%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -5.84%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -2.05%E -0.494%K -0.651%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -9.41%E -5.06%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 28.47%EV -11.66%E -3.65%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 11:28
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -9.90%E -5.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.67%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.872%E -0.208%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.61%E -2.61%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:30
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -3.23%E -0.788%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -10.87%E -5.94%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -9.13%E -2.37%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -5.59%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.38%E -3.56%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 11:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 11:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -7.95%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -14.15%E -4.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.08%EV -12.33%E -6.85%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -11.49%E -3.06%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.68%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.99%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.85%2.6%2026-04-18 11:29