Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sochaux v Saint Etienne

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sochaux (Local)

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.18%26.19%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.6531.25%28.77%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%45.73%45.74%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.982.002.1054.95%50.61%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -0.719%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%28.09%28.07%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.263.303.5032.79%30.65%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sochaux (Local): 26.17%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 45.77%; Draw: 28.06%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -1.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 19:39
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 19:39
1xBet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.89%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.39%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.72%EV -5.16%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 19:25
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.25%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.64%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.16%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 19:20
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.55%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 21:05
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 22:04
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -16.25%E -8.88%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 20:19
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 20:25
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 19:49
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:44
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 19:45
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 19:44
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 19:43
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -14.87%E -8.00%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 19:39
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.36%EV -16.70%E -9.18%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-01 19:40
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.74%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.41%EV -16.25%E -8.88%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.85%EV -14.42%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-01 20:29
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -14.15%E -4.31%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 19:39
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.24%E -5.08%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-01 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.