Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sochaux v Saint Etienne

Início: 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Sochaux 0–3 Saint Etienne

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sochaux (Local)

Previsão 25.20%3.97odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -0.769%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.29%25.19%25.29%26.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.663.703.8529.41%27.36%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Previsão 47.85%2.09odd justa
EV -5.25%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -5.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.76%47.86%47.86%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.921.931.9854.64%52.01%51.81%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.94%3.71odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.380%
Kelly -0.523%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%26.96%26.85%28.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.383.353.6631.25%29.55%29.85%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sochaux (Local): 25.20%; Saint Etienne (Visitante): 47.85%; Empate: 26.94%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.71. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.66, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -2.96%E -0.769%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.78%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -1.39%E -0.380%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:39
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.22%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 18:40
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:40
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:10
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.48%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:39
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -5.73%E -2.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:34
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:33
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:34
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:34
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.74%E -1.82%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.74%E -2.91%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.00%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -8.00%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:24
BetUS🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.00%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 25.52%EV -8.51%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.01%EV -7.64%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:38
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:19
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.46%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:38
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 18:34
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -9.26%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.47%E -6.20%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 17:34
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -9.51%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -3.28%E -0.913%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:35
Suprabets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 25.29%EV -9.51%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.55%EV -10.52%E -5.62%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.16%EV -6.51%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:22
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -11.95%E -6.50%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -11.95%E -6.50%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -10.52%E -2.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -12.43%E -6.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.21%E -3.17%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:39
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.40%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.78%E -3.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -14.30%E -4.21%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -10.52%E -5.62%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-08 18:35