默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Bastia v Saint Etienne

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC

最终结果: SC Bastia 2–0 Saint Etienne

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SC Bastia (主队)

预测 21.69%4.61公平赔率
EV +1.94%
优势 +0.412%
Kelly +0.523%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.99%21.72%21.77%24.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.124.204.7027.03%24.30%23.81%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saint Etienne (客队)

预测 51.94%1.93公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -2.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
48.79%51.87%51.86%53.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.801.801.8859.88%55.68%55.56%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.38%3.79公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.64

博彩公司预测分布
25.08%26.41%26.37%27.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.453.453.6432.26%28.98%28.99%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:SC Bastia (主队):21.69%;Saint Etienne (客队):51.94%;平局:26.38%。 对于“SC Bastia (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.61。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.70,对应+1.94%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +1.94%E +0.412%K +0.523%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +1.94%E +0.412%K +0.523%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:45
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.57%EV +1.07%E +0.229%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.95%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.48%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:50
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.40%E -0.534%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -2.40%E -0.534%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -3.49%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:50
BetUS🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -3.49%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.48%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:50
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.57%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:40
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -4.57%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:54
1xBet🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 21.73%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.18%EV -5.48%E -3.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:50
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:49
SportsBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:40
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:40
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 17:50
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 17:40
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.74%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -3.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.37%EV -12.23%E -7.24%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 17:39
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:19
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:30
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:30
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:31
Suprabets🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.63%E -5.54%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -8.48%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:36
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -12.23%E -7.24%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 17:55
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.27%E -7.94%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 17:40
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -9.99%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:25
NordicBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -9.99%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:24
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 17:30
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:44
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -3.40%E -1.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -3.40%E -1.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 17:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-18 17:50