La escuela de los momios

SC Bastia v Saint Etienne

Inicio: 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC

Final: SC Bastia 2–0 Saint Etienne

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Bastia (Local)

Predicción 21.69%4.61momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.523%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.99%21.72%21.77%24.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.124.204.7027.03%24.30%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Saint Etienne (Visitante)

Predicción 51.94%1.93momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.79%51.87%51.86%53.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.801.801.8859.88%55.68%55.56%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.38%3.79momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.08%26.41%26.37%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.453.453.6432.26%28.98%28.99%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +1.94%E +0.412%K +0.523%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:45
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV +1.94%E +0.412%K +0.523%G +0.010%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.78%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:45
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 20.57%EV +1.07%E +0.229%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.95%EV -6.00%E -3.31%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.48%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 17:50
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.40%E -0.534%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 17:39
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -2.40%E -0.534%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:30
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -3.49%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:50
BetUS4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -3.49%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.48%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:50
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.57%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:40
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -4.57%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -8.59%E -4.88%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 17:54
1xBet4.37I 22.88%NM 21.73%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.18%EV -5.48%E -3.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:50
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 17:49
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:40
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:40
William Hill4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:45
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 17:50
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.94%EV -6.09%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.40%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 17:40
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -6.74%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 17:50
Betr (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.48%E -3.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:30
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 17:30
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -7.82%E -1.84%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.37%EV -12.23%E -7.24%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 17:39
BetMGM4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 17:19
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:30
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 17:30
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.55%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:31
Suprabets4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.63%E -5.54%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -8.48%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 17:36
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.42%EV -12.23%E -7.24%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 17:55
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -8.91%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.27%E -7.94%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.68%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 17:40
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -9.99%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:25
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -9.99%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 17:24
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 17:30
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.64%E -3.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 17:50
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -11.08%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 17:50
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 17:25
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:44
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -13.25%E -3.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.15%E -5.87%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.96%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 17:15
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.42%E -3.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 17:20
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:04
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -18.67%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -2.36%E -1.26%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 17:05
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -3.40%E -1.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:04
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.79%EV -3.40%E -1.83%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -19.75%E -5.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.32%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 17:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-04-18 17:50
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-18 17:50