The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rodez AF v Montpellier

2026-10-19 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 33.97%2.94fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.53%33.91%33.93%35.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.622.8940.00%37.67%38.17%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montpellier (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%37.18%37.67%40.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.412.422.6446.51%41.41%41.32%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.72%3.48fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.691%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%28.90%28.40%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.223.253.4036.36%31.07%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rodez AF (Local): 33.97%; Montpellier (Visit): 37.31%; Draw: 28.72%. For Montpellier (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.64, with an expected value of -1.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.53%EV -1.82%E -0.631%K -0.965%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -1.50%E -0.570%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.27%E -5.18%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 13:34
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -5.56%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.47%E -3.01%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -5.56%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.47%E -3.01%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.58%E -2.39%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:24
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -7.60%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.96%EV -9.71%E -4.01%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 11:34
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -7.60%E -2.79%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.96%EV -9.71%E -4.01%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -9.98%E -3.77%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -15.27%E -5.18%K -7.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-12 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -9.98%E -3.77%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.80%EV -9.71%E -4.01%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -21.02%E -7.64%K -12.01%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-12 13:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.00%E -4.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.35%E -0.691%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.00%E -4.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.35%E -0.691%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.00%E -4.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.35%E -0.691%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.00%E -4.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.35%E -0.691%K -0.979%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.00%E -4.20%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -11.68%E -4.49%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.68%E -4.49%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-12 13:16
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.68%E -4.49%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -11.68%E -4.49%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -19.79%E -9.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-12 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -13.37%E -5.24%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-12 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.07%E -6.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-12 13:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -15.07%E -6.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -16.06%E -7.14%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -9.53%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-12 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%2.26I 44.25%NM 37.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-10-12 11:29