The School of Odds
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Rodez AF v Montpellier

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Rodez AF 0–3 Montpellier

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodez AF (Local)

Prediction 31.54%3.17fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%31.52%31.51%33.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.52%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montpellier (Visit)

Prediction 41.80%2.39fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.33%41.86%41.82%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.182.202.3450.51%45.79%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.63%26.67%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.5831.75%29.49%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rodez AF (Local): 31.54%; Montpellier (Visit): 41.80%; Draw: 26.66%. For Montpellier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -2.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -2.22%E -0.715%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.36%EV -17.24%E -8.71%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 18:20
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.05%EV -5.37%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.09%EV -2.20%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-19 18:40
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.05%EV -5.37%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.09%EV -2.20%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-19 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.37%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-19 16:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.37%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -5.37%E -1.79%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.32%E -6.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-19 18:30
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -6.63%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.10%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.95%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -3.87%E -1.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.95%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.95%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 18:25
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.95%E -2.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-19 18:38
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.33%EV -2.20%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.33%EV -2.20%E -0.940%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 18:40
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 18:39
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 18:39
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.42%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.18%EV -9.72%E -4.50%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 18:30
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -8.89%E -4.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-19 16:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 18:35
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-19 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -12.23%E -5.82%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-19 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-19 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -12.23%E -5.82%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-19 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -12.23%E -5.82%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-19 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -9.16%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -11.39%E -5.37%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.25%EV -8.55%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 18:28
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.16%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.16%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.58%EV -9.47%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.77%EV -9.30%E -4.29%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-19 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -9.47%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 18:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -9.47%E -3.30%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.31%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.96%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-19 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -12.23%E -5.82%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -9.72%E -4.50%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-19 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -9.72%E -4.50%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-19 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.56%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.10%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.56%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.68%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.68%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -8.05%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-19 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.68%E -4.17%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.14%E -4.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.30%EV -13.26%E -4.82%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.38%EV -13.07%E -6.28%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -16.02%E -5.08%K -7.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-19 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.36%E -6.62%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.32%E -6.98%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-19 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-10-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-10-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-10-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-10-19 18:40
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-10-19 18:40