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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Rodez AF v Montpellier

2026-10-19 18:45 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rodez AF (主队)

预测 33.73%2.96公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.519%
Kelly -0.789%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.49%33.80%33.77%35.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.682.652.9240.00%37.35%37.74%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Montpellier (客队)

预测 37.48%2.67公平赔率
EV -0.311%
优势 -0.117%
Kelly -0.187%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.66

博彩公司预测分布
35.38%37.18%37.48%40.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.432.422.6646.51%41.11%41.32%37.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.80%3.47公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -0.617%
Kelly -0.874%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
26.89%29.01%28.75%31.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.213.253.4036.36%31.19%30.77%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Rodez AF (主队)：33.73%；Montpellier (客队)：37.48%；平局：28.80%。 对于“Montpellier (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.67。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为2.66，期望值为-0.311%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.49%EV -1.51%E -0.519%K -0.789%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.67%EV -0.311%E -0.117%K -0.187%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.84%EV -14.19%E -4.76%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 14:30
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -6.24%E -2.24%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.06%E -2.85%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.86%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -6.24%E -2.24%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.06%E -2.85%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.86%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 13:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -7.25%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -12.18%E -3.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 14:30
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.26%E -3.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.96%EV -9.31%E -3.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 11:34
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.26%E -3.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.96%EV -9.31%E -3.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -6.42%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 11:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -10.62%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -4.43%E -1.74%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -15.05%E -5.10%K -7.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-12 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.69%EV -10.62%E -4.01%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.80%EV -9.31%E -3.85%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -20.81%E -7.57%K -11.89%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-12 13:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.63%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.10%E -0.617%K -0.874%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.63%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.10%E -0.617%K -0.874%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.63%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.10%E -0.617%K -0.874%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:19
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -11.63%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.10%E -0.617%K -0.874%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-12 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.63%E -4.44%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.31%E -2.52%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.86%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.31%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -3.54%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 13:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.31%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.18%E -3.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-12 13:16
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.31%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.05%E -4.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -4.98%E -1.51%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -12.31%E -4.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -19.42%E -9.03%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -7.86%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-12 11:29
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.68%E -6.27%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.80%E -6.00%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.74%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-12 13:38
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%2.26I 44.25%NM 37.91%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-10-12 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-12 14:24