默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Red Star v SC Bastia

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Red Star (主队)

预测 48.32%2.07公平赔率
EV -3.37%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
45.85%48.31%48.27%49.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.92%51.95%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

SC Bastia (客队)

预测 22.30%4.49公平赔率
EV +3.01%
优势 +0.651%
Kelly +0.830%
增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 4.62

博彩公司预测分布
20.23%22.27%22.38%24.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.024.004.6227.40%24.88%25.00%21.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.39%3.40公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -0.916%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.77%29.42%29.34%30.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Red Star (主队):48.32%;SC Bastia (客队):22.30%;平局:29.39%。 对于“SC Bastia (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.49。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.62,对应+3.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.78%EV +3.01%E +0.651%K +0.830%G +0.025%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.73%EV -5.08%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +2.56%E +0.557%K +0.711%G +0.018%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:39
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:35
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -3.01%E -0.693%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -5.37%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:34
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.02%E -0.916%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:29
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.93%EV -10.66%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:37
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.49%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:38
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.78%E -5.10%K -7.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.77%EV -7.47%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.86%EV -8.02%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:34
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:29
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -17.72%E -6.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.14%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.93%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.05%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:19
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-04-11 11:30