A Escola das Odds

Red Star v SC Bastia

Início: 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Red Star (Local)

Previsão 48.32%2.07odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.85%48.31%48.27%49.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.92%51.95%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Bastia (Visitante)

Previsão 22.30%4.49odd justa
EV +3.01%
Vantagem +0.651%
Kelly +0.830%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.23%22.27%22.38%24.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.654.024.004.6227.40%24.88%25.00%21.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.39%3.40odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -0.916%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.77%29.42%29.34%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.78%EV +3.01%E +0.651%K +0.830%G +0.025%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.73%EV -5.08%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 11:35
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +2.56%E +0.557%K +0.711%G +0.018%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:20
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:39
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -3.01%E -0.693%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -5.37%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:34
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.02%E -0.916%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:29
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.93%EV -10.66%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:37
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.49%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:30
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:38
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.78%E -5.10%K -7.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.77%EV -7.47%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.86%EV -8.02%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:40
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:30
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:29
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -17.72%E -6.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.14%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.93%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.05%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:19
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-04-11 11:30