L’École des cotes

Red Star v SC Bastia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Red Star (Local)

Prévision 48.32%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.85%48.31%48.27%49.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.92%51.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Bastia (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.30%4.49cote équitable
EV +3.01%
Avantage +0.651%
Kelly +0.830%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 4.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.23%22.27%22.38%24.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.024.004.6227.40%24.88%25.00%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.39%3.40cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -0.916%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%29.42%29.34%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.49%EV -6.26%E -3.23%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.78%EV +3.01%E +0.651%K +0.830%G +0.025%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.73%EV -5.08%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 11:35
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV +2.56%E +0.557%K +0.711%G +0.018%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:28
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:20
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +0.330%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:39
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:35
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -1.90%E -0.432%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -3.01%E -0.693%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -5.37%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -3.46%E -0.799%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:34
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -3.02%E -0.916%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:29
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.91%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -4.13%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.93%EV -10.66%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:37
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.49%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -9.16%E -4.87%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:30
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -10.61%E -5.74%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:38
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -14.78%E -5.10%K -7.78%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:29
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.77%EV -7.47%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.86%EV -8.02%E -2.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 11:34
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:40
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.59%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -9.70%E -2.40%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:30
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.20%E -4.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:29
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.78%E -2.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:34
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.17%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:34
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -9.65%E -5.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -11.58%E -6.33%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -10.82%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -17.72%E -6.33%K -9.84%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.14%EV -6.75%E -3.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -11.93%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.58%EV -7.23%E -3.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -13.05%E -3.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:19
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.71%E -4.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -15.28%E -4.02%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 11:20
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -3.37%E -1.68%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -10.13%E -5.45%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -17.51%E -4.73%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.84%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -4.33%E -2.19%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.97%EV -4.81%E -2.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -18.62%E -5.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.90%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.10%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.31%1.5%2026-04-11 11:30