La scuola delle quote

Red Star v Guingamp

Inizio: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Red Star (Casa)

Previsione 47.47%2.11quota equa
EV -5.07%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.77%47.55%47.34%48.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.61%51.28%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Guingamp (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.61%3.76quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.416%
Kelly -0.570%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.29%26.59%26.67%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.463.453.7031.25%28.92%28.99%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.92%3.86quota equa
EV +1.36%
Vantaggio +0.347%
Kelly +0.466%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.29%25.87%25.99%28.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.493.503.9133.33%28.69%28.57%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.77%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.78%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.45%EV +1.36%E +0.347%K +0.466%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-24 00:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.49%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.86%E -4.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -2.01%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:51
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 00:45
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -6.30%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.15%EV -12.45%E -3.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:19
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:03
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:58
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.14%E -7.18%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:23
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:09
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -22.23%E -7.41%K -11.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-24 03:45