L’École des cotes

Red Star v Guingamp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Red Star (Local)

Prévision 47.47%2.11cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -5.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.77%47.55%47.34%48.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.61%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Guingamp (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.61%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.416%
Kelly -0.570%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.59%26.67%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.453.7031.25%28.92%28.99%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV +1.36%
Avantage +0.347%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.87%25.99%28.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.493.503.9133.33%28.69%28.57%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.77%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.78%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.45%EV +1.36%E +0.347%K +0.466%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-24 00:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.49%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.86%E -4.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -2.01%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:51
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 00:45
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -6.30%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.15%EV -12.45%E -3.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:19
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:03
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:58
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.14%E -7.18%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:23
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:09
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -22.23%E -7.41%K -11.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-24 03:45