La escuela de los momios

Red Star v Guingamp

Inicio: 2026-04-24 18:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Red Star (Local)

Predicción 47.47%2.11momio equitativo
EV -5.07%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -5.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%47.55%47.34%48.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.61%51.28%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Guingamp (Visitante)

Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.59%26.67%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.453.7031.25%28.92%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV +1.36%
Ventaja +0.347%
Kelly +0.466%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%25.87%25.99%28.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.9133.33%28.69%28.57%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.77%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.78%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.45%EV +1.36%E +0.347%K +0.466%G +0.006%4.6%2026-04-24 00:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -0.199%E -0.052%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -1.49%E -0.393%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.86%E -4.62%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -2.01%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:51
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.744%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.54%EV -7.91%E -4.08%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -4.09%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 17:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 21:54
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.76%E -5.72%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 00:45
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -11.71%E -6.30%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.15%EV -12.45%E -3.78%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -12.19%E -6.59%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -6.68%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 21:54
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.19%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:19
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.54%E -0.416%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:03
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 17:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:29
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.81%E -5.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:58
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:19
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:30
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 22:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.14%E -7.18%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -9.27%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 00:44
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:24
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.07%E -2.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.86%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 12:23
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -6.97%E -3.55%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 14:09
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:10
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -5.53%E -1.56%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 14:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -13.16%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:09
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.86%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.44%E -3.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.51%E -4.16%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 12:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.84%E -4.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -22.23%E -7.41%K -11.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 18:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.6%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-24 03:45