默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pau FC v Montpellier

开赛时间: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pau FC (主队)

预测 32.86%3.04公平赔率
EV -4.70%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -2.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.90

博彩公司预测分布
31.00%32.90%32.90%35.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.34%36.17%34.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Montpellier (客队)

预测 40.41%2.47公平赔率
EV -0.990%
优势 -0.404%
Kelly -0.683%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
37.49%40.42%40.38%41.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.312.302.4547.62%43.29%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.72%3.74公平赔率
EV +0.218%
优势 +0.058%
Kelly +0.079%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.49%26.68%26.72%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.29%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pau FC (主队):32.86%;Montpellier (客队):40.41%;平局:26.72%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.75,对应+0.218%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +0.218%E +0.058%K +0.079%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:44
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -3.82%E -1.60%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -2.45%E -0.673%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:40
1xBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.75%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -7.65%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:45
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:55
Bovada🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.64%E -3.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.46%E -3.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:45
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.64%E -3.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.46%E -3.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 18:10
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.00%EV -7.00%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.08%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -7.27%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:49
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:44
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.05%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 18:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 18:39
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -13.90%E -5.30%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-20 18:39
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.83%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-20 18:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-03-20 18:55