La escuela de los momios

Pau FC v Montpellier

Inicio: 2026-03-20 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pau FC (Local)

Predicción 32.86%3.04momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.00%32.90%32.90%35.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.752.762.9039.22%36.34%36.17%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Montpellier (Visitante)

Predicción 40.41%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.990%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.683%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.49%40.42%40.38%41.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.312.302.4547.62%43.29%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV +0.218%
Ventaja +0.058%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%26.68%26.72%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.7533.33%29.29%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV +0.218%E +0.058%K +0.079%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:44
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -3.82%E -1.60%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -2.45%E -0.673%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 18:55
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:44
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -5.13%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:40
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -5.68%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.75%EV -3.42%E -1.43%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:39
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -7.65%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:45
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.35%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:55
Bovada2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.64%E -3.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.46%E -3.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:45
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -8.64%E -3.11%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.35%EV -7.46%E -3.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:45
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 18:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.00%EV -7.00%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.08%EV -5.84%E -2.51%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -7.27%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:44
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:45
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:40
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -0.990%E -0.404%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 15:25
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 32.56%EV -7.33%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.44%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:54
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.34%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 18:49
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 18:45
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:45
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -16.20%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -1.80%E -0.740%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 15:25
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.14%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:44
Suprabets2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.05%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.90%EV -9.67%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 18:44
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -8.26%E -3.64%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:45
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-20 18:45
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 18:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.98%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:40
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 18:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -13.90%E -5.30%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-20 18:39
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -19.83%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:45
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-03-20 18:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.91%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-03-20 18:55