Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.98
assuming max odds 4.33
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nantes (Local): 48.92%; Nancy (Visit): 23.89%; Draw: 27.19%. For Nancy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.45%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV +3.45%E +0.797%K +1.04%G +0.036% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.344%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +0.344%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -10.97%E -6.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -9.01%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.01%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -12.18%E -3.77%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 18:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -11.94%E -6.64%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -12.43%E -6.95%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.94%E -6.64%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -7.54%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-07 18:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -8.03%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-07 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -10.65%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.69%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.48%E -5.72%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -14.39%E -8.22%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-07 17:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.93% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-09-07 18:40 |