Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nantes v Nancy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 18:45 UTC

Score final : Nantes 1–0 Nancy

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nantes (Local)

Prévision 48.92%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.28%49.13%48.85%51.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.861.9857.14%53.51%53.76%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nancy (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.89%4.19cote équitable
EV +3.45%
Avantage +0.797%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.73%23.99%25.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.904.3327.78%25.61%25.64%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.816%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%27.15%27.16%28.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.48%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nantes (Local) : 48.92% ; Nancy (Visiteur) : 23.89% ; Match nul : 27.19%. Pour Nancy (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.19. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.33, soit une espérance positive de +3.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.75%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.17%EV +3.45%E +0.797%K +1.04%G +0.036%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.344%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV +0.344%E +0.082%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:35
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.86%EV -5.58%E -2.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -10.97%E -6.02%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:30
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.18%EV -9.01%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.01%E -4.84%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.20%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -2.05%E -0.499%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -12.18%E -3.77%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:21
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -11.94%E -6.64%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.52%E -4.56%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.63%E -1.43%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.61%E -2.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.97%EV -12.43%E -6.95%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -11.94%E -6.64%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.00%E -4.06%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.04%EV -13.41%E -7.58%K -17.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -6.82%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -9.99%E -5.43%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -2.12%E -0.589%K -0.816%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 07:59
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -6.07%E -3.16%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -7.54%E -3.99%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.21%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.84%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 19:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 19:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.92%E -2.66%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 18:38
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -8.03%E -4.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.64%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 18:35
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.28%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -10.65%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.69%EV -8.10%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 18:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.56%E -3.44%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -7.05%E -3.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.48%E -5.72%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.56%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 11:05
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.50%E -5.13%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-07 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -14.39%E -8.22%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -3.11%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-07 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.06%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-09-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-09-07 18:40
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.7%2026-09-07 18:40