Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nancy v Le Mans FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nancy (Local)

Prediction 31.04%3.22fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.554%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.85%31.12%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.982.963.2835.71%33.60%33.73%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Le Mans FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.31%2.54fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.29%39.39%39.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.342.4847.62%42.84%42.64%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.65%3.37fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.61%29.75%29.69%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.39%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nancy (Local): 31.04%; Le Mans FC (Visit): 39.31%; Draw: 29.65%. For Nancy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV +1.82%E +0.554%K +0.797%G +0.014%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.28%EV -6.05%E -2.53%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -6.01%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:49
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.29%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.29%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -2.53%E -0.805%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:50
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:55
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:54
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:35
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:49
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:34
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:50
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.16%E -0.654%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:39
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:34
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.02%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -17.45%E -8.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.98%E -6.06%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-13 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.09%EV -9.36%E -3.20%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.14%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 14:10
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:49
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 08:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.85%EV -8.02%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:30
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.0%2026-03-13 18:55