L’École des cotes

Nancy v Le Mans FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nancy (Local)

Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV +1.82%
Avantage +0.554%
Kelly +0.797%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.57%30.85%31.12%32.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.982.963.2835.71%33.60%33.73%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Le Mans FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.31%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.29%39.39%39.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.342.4847.62%42.84%42.64%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.65%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.654%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.61%29.75%29.69%31.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.39%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV +1.82%E +0.554%K +0.797%G +0.014%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.28%EV -6.05%E -2.53%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -6.01%E -1.90%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-13 18:55
PMU (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:49
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-13 18:50
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -0.666%E -0.208%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 18:55
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.29%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.604%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.29%EV -2.51%E -1.01%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -2.53%E -0.805%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 18:50
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:55
BetUS3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 18:54
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.66%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 18:35
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:50
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:49
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 18:34
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.24%EV -5.63%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -2.45%E -0.746%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:50
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -2.16%E -0.654%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 14:45
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 18:34
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:39
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:34
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:55
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.02%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -17.45%E -8.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -16.98%E -6.06%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-13 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:35
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.49%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.45%E -2.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:50
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.09%EV -9.36%E -3.20%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.14%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 18:40
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:35
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 14:10
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.66%E -2.36%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:30
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:29
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.62%E -3.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 18:49
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-13 08:29
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.85%EV -8.02%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 18:40
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.80%E -3.79%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 08:30
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.59%E -4.17%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 15:50
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.56%E -5.14%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-13 08:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.7%2026-03-13 18:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%2.0%2026-03-13 18:55