Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nancy v Annecy FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Nancy 1–5 Annecy FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nancy (Local)

Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.47%36.47%37.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.27%39.37%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.88%33.15%33.08%35.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%30.38%30.45%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.053.2536.36%33.19%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nancy (Local): 36.52%; Annecy FC (Visit): 33.08%; Draw: 30.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -4.74%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -5.15%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 17:40
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:04
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.20%E -0.368%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 17:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:34
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -12.34%E -4.66%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:05
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -7.24%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -7.24%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -6.72%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:38
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.04%E -2.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.04%E -2.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:04
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.35%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.60%EV -9.71%E -3.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:44
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.45%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:54
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -9.06%E -3.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
Suprabets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.54%EV -9.06%E -3.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.61%EV -7.71%E -2.76%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:59
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.01%E -4.94%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.01%E -4.94%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.34%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.34%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -17.31%E -6.92%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -16.40%E -5.96%K -9.37%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-04-17 17:55