La escuela de los momios

Nancy v Annecy FC

Inicio: 2026-04-17 18:00 UTC

Final: Nancy 1–5 Annecy FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nancy (Local)

Predicción 36.52%2.74momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.819%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.62%36.47%36.47%37.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.542.7041.67%39.27%39.37%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Annecy FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.08%3.02momio equitativo
EV -4.07%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.88%33.15%33.08%35.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.752.9040.00%36.65%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.40%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.532%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.22%30.38%30.45%31.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.053.2536.36%33.19%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -1.39%E -0.516%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.45%EV -4.74%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -5.15%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 17:40
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:04
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -3.22%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:05
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -3.95%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-15 12:35
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.06%E -2.13%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 17:54
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 17:54
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:05
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -1.20%E -0.368%K -0.532%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 17:54
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 17:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:34
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:05
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:44
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -6.87%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -12.34%E -4.66%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:05
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -7.24%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:54
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -7.24%E -2.85%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:54
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -6.72%E -2.38%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 17:38
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.04%E -2.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.97%E -3.16%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -8.04%E -2.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 17:55
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:44
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 17:49
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:04
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.35%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.60%EV -9.71%E -3.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 17:44
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.45%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 17:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -8.70%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.52%EV -12.75%E -4.44%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 17:54
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 36.99%EV -9.06%E -3.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.31%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 17:52
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 36.54%EV -9.06%E -3.64%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.61%EV -7.71%E -2.76%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 17:48
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.01%E -4.94%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.01%E -4.94%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.34%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.34%E -5.09%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -10.52%E -4.29%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 17:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.35%E -5.15%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.89%EV -17.31%E -6.92%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.81%EV -16.40%E -5.96%K -9.37%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-17 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-17 17:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-04-17 17:55