Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Montpellier v Red Star

2026-10-24 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Montpellier (Local)

Prévision 41.32%2.42cote équitable
EV -4.96%
Avantage -2.15%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.38%41.50%41.25%46.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.152.152.3051.81%46.59%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Red Star (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV +4.99%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +2.08%
Croissance +0.104%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%30.76%30.91%32.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.003.4036.36%32.92%33.33%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.80%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.773%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.74%27.84%28.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5032.26%30.23%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Montpellier (Local) : 41.32% ; Red Star (Visiteur) : 30.88% ; Match nul : 27.80%. Pour Red Star (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.40, pour une espérance positive de +4.99%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -19.42%E -9.96%K -20.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV +4.99%E +1.47%K +2.08%G +0.104%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-19 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:04
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -14.05%E -6.75%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV +1.90%E +0.575%K +0.825%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.71%E -0.773%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 12:06
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -17.35%E -8.68%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-19 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.80%EV -17.35%E -8.68%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -2.73%E -0.868%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-19 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.96%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.67%EV -18.18%E -9.18%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-19 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -18.59%E -9.44%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-19 12:05
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.11%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.55%EV -5.51%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -4.93%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-19 11:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.20%EV -4.93%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.04%EV -6.61%E -2.92%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.04%EV -6.61%E -2.92%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-19 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -20.25%E -10.49%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-19 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.96%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-19 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.49%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-19 12:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 12:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 11:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-19 11:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 10:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-19 10:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -9.91%E -4.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.88%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 12:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-19 12:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -7.85%E -3.52%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:09
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-19 12:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-19 12:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -10.33%E -4.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.11%EV -11.38%E -3.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.49%E -3.26%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.38%E -3.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 12:05
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.38%E -3.96%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-19 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -15.29%E -7.46%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -12.00%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-19 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.27%E -2.50%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-19 10:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.05%E -3.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-19 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.22%E -6.30%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.83%E -4.46%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-19 12:16
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -15.08%E -5.49%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.66%E -2.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-19 10:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 40.51%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%16.5%2026-10-19 10:30