Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC v Stade de Reims

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Le Mans FC 1–1 Stade de Reims

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC (Local)

Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%36.97%37.00%39.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.472.482.6342.55%40.51%40.40%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade de Reims (Visit)

Prediction 34.22%2.92fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%34.18%34.17%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8740.00%36.99%37.04%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.842%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.85%28.83%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.253.4034.72%31.39%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Le Mans FC (Local): 36.96%; Stade de Reims (Visit): 34.22%; Draw: 28.82%. For Stade de Reims (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.87, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.53%EV -1.77%E -0.618%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:55
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.65%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.24%EV -5.20%E -1.88%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -5.77%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.01%EV -5.39%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.77%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.11%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:49
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.22%E -2.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.36%E -2.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.87%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.28%E -3.09%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:45
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.87%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.28%E -3.09%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.33%E -3.94%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.33%E -3.94%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Suprabets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.17%EV -13.26%E -4.41%K -6.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:37
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -8.34%E -3.36%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -6.91%E -2.54%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -8.71%E -3.53%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:40
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.01%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-05-02 17:55