La escuela de los momios

Le Mans FC v Stade de Reims

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Le Mans FC 1–1 Stade de Reims

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Le Mans FC (Local)

Predicción 36.96%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%36.97%37.00%39.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.472.482.6342.55%40.51%40.40%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stade de Reims (Visitante)

Predicción 34.22%2.92momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.949%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.75%34.18%34.17%35.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8740.00%36.99%37.04%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.595%
Kelly -0.842%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.65%28.85%28.83%30.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.253.4034.72%31.39%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.59%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.53%EV -1.77%E -0.618%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.88%EV -7.21%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 17:50
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.96%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 17:55
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.65%E -1.80%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.24%EV -5.20%E -1.88%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.00%EV -5.77%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.01%EV -5.39%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.77%EV -6.57%E -2.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -12.11%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:49
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.02%E -0.595%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 17:50
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 17:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -6.22%E -2.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -8.36%E -2.63%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.76%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:45
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.87%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.28%E -3.09%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.66%EV -6.87%E -2.72%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%EV -8.28%E -3.09%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:49
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -10.33%E -3.94%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.33%E -3.94%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.17%EV -13.26%E -4.41%K -6.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:37
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:34
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:35
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -8.34%E -3.36%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -6.91%E -2.54%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.65%EV -6.92%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -8.71%E -3.53%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:50
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 17:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -4.90%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-02 17:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.02%E -4.24%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.55%E -4.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.44%E -5.78%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.01%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-02 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:35
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.17%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.34%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-05-02 17:55