Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC v Clermont

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 18:04 UTC

Final: Le Mans FC 1–0 Clermont

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Mans FC (Local)

Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.44%58.28%58.57%60.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6566.67%63.33%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clermont (Visit)

Prediction 17.87%5.60fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%17.96%17.76%19.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.065.105.5122.22%19.76%19.61%18.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV +0.565%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%23.76%23.67%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.793.804.2330.30%26.36%26.32%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Le Mans FC (Local): 58.35%; Clermont (Visit): 17.87%; Draw: 23.77%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.565%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.51%EV -2.24%E -0.409%K -0.501%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.64%EV +0.565%E +0.133%K +0.175%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-17 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -2.53%E -0.616%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.92%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:57
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.89%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -12.47%E -8.31%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -4.90%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.09%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Suprabets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.23%EV -7.04%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:59
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.27%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.17%EV -4.38%E -0.819%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -13.32%E -2.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.47%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:58
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.75%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.94%EV -7.96%E -1.55%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.22%E -4.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.17%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:59
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.66%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 18:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.60%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.25%EV -1.52%E -0.276%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -10.13%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -1.70%E -0.309%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 17:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.06%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.92%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.85%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -8.85%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -12.04%E -3.25%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -7.80%E -4.94%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.65%EV -9.55%E -6.16%K -17.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -10.14%E -6.58%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -12.43%E -2.54%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -13.22%E -3.62%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -8.97%E -5.75%K -16.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.64%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -14.41%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -6.63%E -4.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -8.39%E -5.34%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -14.21%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -16.79%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -19.57%E -4.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -21.55%E -6.53%K -9.37%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.80%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-04-17 18:00
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.59%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-17 18:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.59%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%2.3%2026-04-17 18:00